外汇评论：注意英镑美元先涨后跌

英镑美元向上突破1.5566意味着1.5445是它的低点。但是，它冲高后仍会再度下跌。因此，价格目前处于中间区域，而暂时没有看跌反转迹象。我认为这次上涨会稍为高于1.5587。最低目标围绕1.5598，较高目标在1.5619-44。因此，从1.5598上方，我们应该寻找看跌反转迹象。这应导致英镑美元跌回到1.5445以下，注意1.5389-02区域，1.5366 - 甚至1.5331...

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伊恩˙科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

BIAS:     Mixed - currently in a corrective area 

MAIN ANALYSIS:   The break above 1.5566 implies we had already seen a low at 1.5445. However, it still suggests another decline - but could see a deeper correction higher first. Thus, price is balanced in mid range with currently no bearish reversal indications. I suspect we'll see the recovery edge a little higher above 1.5587. There's a minimum target around 1.5598 with deeper retracement areas at 1.5619-44. Thus, from 1.5598 upwards we should be looking for bearish reversal indications. This should lead to losses back to 1.5445 - and below note the 1.5389-02 area and 1.5366 - even 1.5331... 

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  Only a break above 1.5706 would suggest a deeper recovery towards the 1.5813 high… 

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

21st May:   The downside has developed close to expectations and does not look complete. While the 1.5619-44 area caps there is still room for another decline below 1.5445 and to 1.5389-02 at least and I suspect a bit lower, noting 1.5366 also. The problem with this decline is that it could get deeper - to 1.5331 but should not break below 1.5089... Thus watch for bullish reversal indications. 

Only below 1.5089 would send this directly lower. 

Good trading

Ian Copsey