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即市策略

每日预测:澳元兑美元

当天计划

建议:等待突破

阻力位:0.7790-95   0.7818   0.7831   0.7860-65

支持:0.7750   0.7730-35   0.7710   0.7665-80

主要原因分析:反弹到达0.7805目标和停滞低于0.7825阻力,这使得重回0.7750复苏到0.7813。提供了一个双顶势,但需要跌回低于0.7750。这是我的预测。如果双顶槽被打破,可能会更正回到高位。但是,总体而言,这将产生一个目标位0.7665-80。另外请注意0.7635,如果这是真的回跌到这里,那么我们就应该遵守的看涨反转的迹象,因为我觉得这里有第二个反弹。

反向分析:只有正上方0.7818将看到进一步上涨到至少0.7865-80,甚至可能到达0.7928区域...或更多...

中期分析:

6月3日:所以,我们看到目前的低点,因此修正更高。我看到附近的阻力为0.7860-80  0.7928  0.7974。然而,鉴于欧洲对美元兑日元的预期波动的情况下,我觉得我们需要留意的一个横向调整的可能性 - 也许是一个三角形或平行的形态调整。

交易顺利

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

 

原文:

DAILY FORECAST FOR AUDUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:     Wait for breaks

Resistance:      0.7790-95         0.7818      0.7831      0.7860-65

Support:   0.7750      0.7730-35         0.7710      0.7665-80

MAIN ANALYSIS:   The rally reached the 0.7805 target and stalled below the 0.7825 resistance. This allowed a move back to 0.7750 for a recovery to 0.7813. This provides a potential double top but will require a break below 0.7750. That is my pference. If the double top trough is broken, allow for a correction back higher. However, overall this will generate a target around 0.7665-80. Also note and allow for 0.7635.If this is seen, then we should observe for bullish reversal indications as I feel this needs a second rally.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  Only directly above 0.7818 would see further gains up to 0.7865-80 at least and could even reach the 0.7928 area… or more…

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

3rd June:  So, we've seen the current low and therefore a correction higher. I see resistance around 0.7860-80 and also 0.7928 also 0.7974. However, given the situation in the Europeans and the expected swings in USDJPY, I feel we need watch for the potential for a sideways consolidation - perhaps a triangle or flat correction.

Good trading

Ian Copsey