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即市策略

每日预测:欧元兑日元

当天计划

建议:在138.60-90支撑(138.28也可),我们应该看到反弹的再临

阻力:139.80-85    140.15-35    140.70-90    141.05-30

支持:139.10-15    138.64-85    138.28    138.05

主要原因分析:反弹如预期般持续,但打破了预期目标140.22-54区域的上方,达到141.05。这提供了一些修改,我很期待从其中已经出现的200点的建议下定一个较低目标。这已经满足更改了,但我们需要到达138.64-85区域(最大值138.28,但我怀疑它会达到深底)。因此,总体来说,我们现在应该寻找能重新反弹到141.05高点的走势。在那个大概区域- 也许只是低于或高于 - 我们应该能够看到看到一个修正,虽然修正的深度难以判断。总体而言,一旦这种修正完成,它暗示出现一个最终目标,停留在141.30区域的可能性不大,更可能是141.65-95 – 而142.36的可能最大 ...当走势近临近就会因反转迹象而看跌。

反向分析:跌破138.20-25和138.05将暗示失去137.40-45点位,继而下探136.90-00。

中期分析:

6月3日:看来我们有一个相对浅的修正 我没有考虑欧元兑美元看淡后市的预期。不过,现在这意味着我们将要朝向更高的点,至少142.30-40区域,可能会多一点 - 在143.95这个更高的目标,虽然我怀疑这是否会实现。

交易顺利

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

 

DAILY FORECAST FOR EURJPY

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:  While 138.60-90 supports (allow for 138.28) we should see the rally resume

Resistance:      139.80-85           140.15-35      140.70-90      141.05-30

Support:   139.10-15           138.64-85       138.28          138.05

MAIN ANALYSIS:   The rally continued as expected but broke above the expected 140.22-54 target area to reach 141.05. This has provided the correction that I was expecting from the lower target which has been around 200 points as suggested. It has done enough to satisfy alternation but we need to allow for the 138.64-85 area (max 138.28 but I doubt it will reach that deep.) Thus, overall, we should now be looking for the rally to resume and back towards the 141.05 high. From around there - maybe just below/above - we should see a correction although the depth is difficult to judge. Overall, once this correction is complete it suggests a final target around the 141.30 area minimum and more likely 141.65-95 - at most the 142.36 area...When approached watch for bearish reversal indications.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  Only back below 138.20-25 and 138.05 would suggest losses to 137.40-45 - and a break below there to 136.90-00.

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

3rd June:   It seems we had a relatively shallow correction - which I had not expected due to the bearish outlook in EURUSD… However, this now suggests that we're going to be moving higher to at least the 142.30-40 area but could be a little more - a higher target at 143.95 although I doubt it will get there.

Good trading

Ian Copsey