外汇评论：问题似乎得到了解决...

非农数据提供了一定的影响。我一直在过去的一周思考两个备选方案，等待其中选择之一停息的迹象。话虽如此，由于一些迹象，我确实对英镑兑美元和欧元兑日元持有保留意见。一旦这些都解决了，我们应该有希望看到一个强势、统一的前景。

截至本周开始，我不确信，周五美元的走强是否将继续单边上升。这似乎是在暗示有至少三个欧洲货币成员的影响，也可能是澳元兑美元。随着这些走势发展，应该很有希望在英镑兑美元、欧元兑日元和澳元兑美元上做到更加周全的分析。所以，我觉得最先的注意应该放在今天美元的走低，然后我们将不得不观察整个形式对每个货币对的发展影响。

正如上周五，欧元兑日元仍然未能达到如我指出的支撑区域，这仍然可以提供下行屏障。这意味着反弹行情的新高，但到达该点之后更加小心将是必需的。这里引出了一个问题 – 也许是两者 - 欧元兑美元和美元兑日元将有更高的提升空间。我觉得今天就会有这些征兆。交叉分析而言，今天可能是一个不错的交易时间。

因此，虽然需要一些应有的谨慎和注意来确认我的怀疑，但我有一种感觉，这是一个指向不太明确的一天。

祝您有个赚钱周！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

There does seem to be resolution…

The Non Farm Payrolls certainly provided impact. I had been working with two alternatives over the past week, waiting for a sign of a break in one of the alternatives. Having said that, I do have some reservations due to some indications in GBPUSD and EURJPY. Once these have been resolved we should hopefully have a stronger, unified outlook.

As this week begins, I’m not convinced that Friday’s strength in the Dollar will continue directly. This seems to be implied in the three Europeans at least, and probably AUDUSD. As these develop there should hopefully be a greater idea of the resolutions required in GBPUSD, EURJPY and AUDUSD. Therefore, I feel the initial reaction today will be for the Dollar to move lower and we’ll then have to observe the relative development across the pairs.

As pointed out on Friday, EURJPY has still failed to reach the support area I indicated and this can still provide a downside barrier. It implies a rally to a new high but beyond that point some greater care is going to be required. This begs the question of which – or both – of EURUSD and USDJPY will provide the boost higher. I feel today will provide that information. The cross is probably a decent trade today.

So, while the need for some due care and attention is required to confirm my suspicions, I have a feeling that this will generally be a less directional day.

Have a profitable week

Ian Copsey