外汇评论：这个市场需要活跃的催化

或者应该说已经被另一种氛围“催化”？

无聊、毫无生气、枯燥、沉闷、乏善可陈、死气沉沉、进展缓慢、呆滞、乏味、被困、令人厌烦。

我觉这是你所看到的趋势。

对于提供市场的下一步走势行动指导信息，使我感到殚精竭虑。我在过去这两天里已经尽可能尝试，去做出有交易意义的走势结构图表，市场已经呈现出一种无趋势方向的状态。从另一种意义上说，这基本上意味着整合。然而这个整合又有何意义呢？

无聊、毫无生气、枯燥、沉闷、乏善可陈、死气沉沉、进展缓慢、呆滞、乏味、被困、令人厌烦。难道这就是它的意义？

也许在走势的适度结构上，唯一有点像样的货币对就是英镑兑美元，它保持了咬紧牙关的势头并稳步向上进展，虽然进展程度较低发展也相当内敛，因此使得预测过程多了几分不确定因素。然而，整体涨幅应该会保持这种模式。有一个坚实的4小时图背离，但价格却继续从4小时一目均衡图云雾区的支持位做出反弹。可见风险依然较高——直到该模式被打破。

在其他方面，幽闭行情的本质发展最终使人麻木，但我们都知道，一旦这个“炸弹”被排除掉，我们将迎来混乱局面。

这是一个适合打盹的日子。

交易顺利！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

This market needs a cat at least

Or should that have been “catalyst”?

Boring. Drab. Dreary. Dull. Lacklustre. Lifeless. Slow. Sluggish. Tedious. Trapped. Wearisome.

I think you get the drift.

It also makes life difficult trying to provide some useful information that will provide guidance on the next move of the market. As much as I have attempted over the past two days to make sense of the structures in the charts, the market has found a way not to commit to a direction. To put that in another way, it basically means consolidation. What does consolidation mean?

Boring. Drab. Dreary. Dull. Lacklustre. Lifeless. Slow. Sluggish. Tedious. Trapped. Wearisome.

Perhaps the only currency pair that has any moderately decent structure is GBPUSD, which is maintaining its stiff upper lip and making steady upward progress although the lower degree development is rather introverted and therefore makes the forecasting process a little more hazardous. However, overall this pattern of gains should continue. There is a solid 4-hour bearish divergence but price continues to bounce from the supportive 4-hour Price Equilibrium Cloud. Until that pattern breaks the risk remains higher.

Elsewhere, the claustrophobic nature of development is numbing but we all know that once the bomb has been dropped we’re going to suffer bedlam.

Have a good snooze today.

Good trading

Ian Copsey