外汇评论：星期五具有建设性意义

星期五的分析全面地走上了轨道，在某些情况下表现得十分精确。这倾向于保持一种我曾经提出的结构，但是考虑到希腊债务问题会是一个突然打破结构而造成完全开放式走向的潜在风险。显然，市场已经知道这一因素，因此，我们总是看到熟悉的防御性发展模式。

那么，这周的开始意味着什么？好吧，考虑到结构走势，它的确表明，美元大体上进一步走软。然而，总是会有复杂的修正风险或横向移动，以让市场推迟进行走势的突破。没有人愿意抓住了一个糟糕的位置入市。总的来说，我十分确信最终的走势结果。唯一的问题是当前的任何走势范围，都使得确定止损相当困难–而一旦我们确定可靠的定向波浪，问题将迎刃而解。

市场刚刚打开，欧元兑美元和美元兑日元呈现间隙走高。这对欧元兑日元非常有利，但是考虑到在最近范围内潜在的横盘调整。我不知道发动这样调整的强度对于交叉走势来说是否合乎时机。此外，其他货币对将会以最小的变化开始调整。

我想我们将会看到一个相对平静的一天–当然伴随着来自欧盟最终公告的风险…

从现在开始，时刻保持警觉。

祝大家有个赚钱周！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Friday was constructive

Monday, June 22, 2015

The analysis was broadly on track on Friday, in some cases pcise. It tends to maintain the structures I have proposed but given the underlying nervousness about the Greek debt issue there will always be the potential for a sudden break of structure within a mad free for all. Clearly the market already knows that and thus the pattern of defensive development we have experienced.

So what does this mean for the start of the week? Well, given the structure I have, it does suggest further Dollar weakness in general. However, there will always be the risk of complex corrections or sideways drifting that allow the market to put off actually making a defining break. No one really wants to get caught out with a bad position. Overall, I am ptty convinced of the eventual move. The only issue is the extent of any current moves that makes identifying stop losses rather difficult – but once it does we are due a solid directional wave.

The market has just opened with EURUSD and USDJPY both gapping higher. That’s ptty good for EURJPY but bear in mind the potential for a sideways consolidation within the recent range. I’m not sure this will spark strength in the cross just yet. Otherwise, the other pairs have opened with minimal reactions.

I suspect we’ll see a relatively quiet day – but of course with the risk of a terminal announcement from the EU…

Still take care for now.

Have a profitable week