外汇评论：再说欧盟

我昨晚做了一个噩梦。我梦见希腊债务的讨论一直持续了今日一整天，维持平淡、单调、沉闷和令人困倦的巩固，但随着周末的到来，将会在周一开盘之时引发一个达到200点缺口的结果。它给我带来了梦想和汗水。可是后来当我回去睡觉却又做了第二个噩梦，甚至比第一个更糟糕和可怕...市场周一开盘时完全没有对整个下一周问题的解决方法和讨论...

这足以让任何人脊背发凉...

与其同时，欧洲组货币对继续横向移动，澳元兑美元和美元兑日元仍是一个“威胁”。这些问题合并起来就造成许多的争议，主要在于波浪B的发展容易是由于波浪B有着自己的复杂修正，而另一方面它在较低的阶段时含有大量杂乱的影响又使得它将无以为继。美元指数在过去的几个星期中，我们已经看到了一个不规则三角形处于B浪的底部，而一个更大的不规则三角形将他们包含在内。下面这些是令人兴奋的......如果本周末已过尚无问题的解决方法，我们将看到每个风险之中都有更多的相同之处。

纵观昨天余下的少许走势- 似乎是一个混杂的结构，它的混杂在于个别结构方面。如果我看到任何更可能出现的结果，那么它可能是美元兑日元的强劲和英镑兑美元的疲软 - 但是，当然，这需要确认。这部分看起来是由于欧元兑日元完成了一个完整的纠正下调。话虽如此，看涨的反转迹象并不是那么强列。因此，它也是需要确认的。

再者，除非欧盟的“讨论”持续到第二天，否则这将很难看到任何的强烈欲望，因为这是市场的危险之处。

周末愉快！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

EU-wwww…

I had a nightmare last night. I dreamt that the Greek debt discussions continued through the entirety of today, maintaining a dull, drab, dour and dozy consolidation but with the weekend providing an outcome that provoked a 200 point gap on Monday’s open. It brought me out of the dream giving me the sweats. After eventually getting back to sleep I had a second nightmare, even worse and frightening than the first… The market opened on Monday with no solution and the discussions continued for the entirety of next week…

That’s enough to send shivers down anybody’s spine…

In the meantime, this continued sideways move in the Europeans, AUDUSD and USDJPY is still a “threat.” These consolidations cause a lot of issues with the Wave B’s easily developing in their own complex corrections and lots of noise in the lower degrees that make life extremely tough. Over the past few weeks in the U.S. indices we have seen an irregular triangle in a B leg of a larger irregular triangle. Following these is mind blowing… and if there is no solution over this weekend there’s every risk of seeing more of the same.

Looking at the remnants of yesterday’s moves – there seems to be a mishmash of structures that confuses in terms of individual structures. If I see any more likely outcome, then it’s probably a firm USDJPY and weak GBPUSD – but, of course, requiring confirmations. This is partly due to what looks to have been a complete corrective decline in EURJPY. Having said that, the bullish reversal indications are not that strong. Hence the need for confirmation.

Otherwise, unless the EU “discussions” continue through the day, it’s difficult to see any strong desire from the market to stand out on a limb…

Have a great weekend