外汇评论：欧盟大染缸！

它是终要到来的。上周二我写道：

“我们都知道，我们必须玩一个静坐和感知并存的游戏，在一瞬间，市场将会完全疯狂就像所有的地狱突然崩塌。一旦这一假象经过动向过程的讨论，唯一结果将是看跌欧元。关键的未知数是会在何处停止…”

开盘以来已经下跌了160点，它反映市场一直在等待......对我来说，更严重的部分是这个巨大的差距中隐藏了信息。我有一连串的中间目标，但哪一个会提供修正我们仍无法判断，即使这样，我怀疑市场会花很多时间来考虑修正的深度。

在其他货币对中已经出现有反应的组合，美元兑瑞郎保持较高的间隙走势 - 同英镑兑美元也差不多。大卫·卡梅伦必须很好地保持他与欧盟的立场...不要忘了澳元兑美元，开市以来更多保守的下沉也反映了欧盟干预所造成的影响具有局限性。

谁一直是彻头彻尾的失败者，远远惨过欧元兑美元的，是欧元兑日元。美元兑日元出现了美元看涨趋势的反转，在低间隙逆势中出现100多点的进展，而由此看涨美元趋势的合并合资企业已在交叉趋势中输掉超过300点......

这个起始的风波需要时间来恢复，虽然整体会开始产生更多的可识别和遵循的结构。然而，欧元将注定在很长一段时间内不会走出一个漂亮的曲线。

祝您有个赚钱周！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

The EU Crocks!

It had to come. Last Tuesday I wrote:

“We all know that we have to play the game of sitting still and knowing that, in a split second, all hell will let loose and the market will go totally berserk. Once this phoney process of going through the motions of discussions is over the only outcome will be Euro bearish. The key unknown is where to place stops…”

Already down by 160 points on open, it reflects what the market has been waiting for… The tougher part for me is the information hidden in the massive gap. I have a string of intermediate targets but which one will provide the correction is impossible to judge and even then, I doubt the market will spend much time giving consideration to the depth of the correction.

There has been a mix of reactions in the other currency pairs with the gap higher in USDCHF quite conservative – similarly with GBPUSD. David Cameron must be well pleased with his stance with the EU… Not forgetting AUDUSD, the more conservative dip on open is also reflective of the limited nature of the impact caused by EU meddling.

What has been the out and out loser, far more than EURUSD, is EURJPY. With USDJPY appearing to buck the general Dollar bullish trend by gapping lower by some 100+ points the combined joint venture has seen the cross collapse by over 300 points…

It’s going to take time for this initial furore to die down although overall it will begin to generate a more recognisable structure to follow. However, the fate of the Euro will not be a ptty one for quite some time.

Have a profitable week

Ian Copsey