外汇评论：欧元是否存在欺骗性......

我没想到的是这犹如一个过山车......很显然，我被吸进了欧元的下行趋势，而且并没有预期的逆转。然而，在这个阶段，我不认为我们会看到1.1466高点以上的行情- 或者，如果我们真的看到，也不会超过很多。

说实话，除非我自欺欺人，欧元兑美元如今看起来非常直截了当。而美元兑瑞郎和英镑兑美元存在更令人费解的结构。英镑兑美元确实有潜力进行更深度的调高，但它可以走到一个相对较宽的范围之中。美元兑瑞郎的行情应该将欧元兑美元的价位考虑进去。昨天产生了额外的新高，而这提供了一个不合逻辑的结构/结果。总的来说，我今天不打算寻找任何的实质资料/过多的波动走势，但我认为今天 - 也许明天（除了一些地狱般的横盘调整） - 我们将再次寻找美元走强的信号。

澳元兑美元存在拉伸的极限。我想提出一个严正声明，但存在一定风险，关键要素是要理解此前收益将指示进一步推高的目标会在哪里 - 或者实际上，目标暗含在下行之中，哪里将恢复看空的举动...

继美元兑日元前期的大幅下跌，但反弹之后一直保持在一个范围内。在这一点上，它看起来像是停滞在一个中间阶段。我可以看到昨天多空两边的突破范围。无论双方任何一方在今天发生突破或无论是否摆脱这种犹豫不决的走势将是更大的未知数。

至于欧元兑日元，我只觉得可以假设的是，巨大的差距存在与图表中所有的中间目标和修正之中，在看到深度复苏的同时，没有其他的解释......总的来说，我还是觉得欧元兑美元将成为占主导地位的影响者......因此，保留主要焦点在欧元兑美元之上，以确认它的高低将造成什么影响...

交易顺利！

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

The EUR begs to deceive…

That was a roller coaster that I hadn’t expected… Obviously I was sucked into the downside in the Euro and wasn’t expecting the reversal. However, at this stage, I don’t think we’ll see a high above 1.1466 – or if we do, not by much.

To be honest, unless I am deceiving myself, EURUSD looks ptty straightforward now. It’s USDCHF and GBPUSD that hold more puzzling structures. GBPUSD does have potential to correct higher a little deeper but has a relatively wide range in which it can stall. USDCHF should be considered along with EURUSD as to where it will stall. It was the additional new high yesterday that appears to have provided an illogical structure/outcome. Overall, I’m not looking for any substantial/ excessive moves today but I do think that by today – maybe tomorrow (barring some hellish sideways consolidation) – we’ll be back looking for the Dollar to strengthen.

AUDUSD is stretching the limits. I’d like to make a firm statement but there are some risks and the key element is understanding where the upside will indicate a further push higher – or indeed, on the downside, where the bearish move resumes…

Following the early sharp drop in USDJPY, it rebounded but then has remained in a range. At this point it looks like it has stalled in an in-between stage. I can see both sides of yesterday’s range being broken. Whether both will happen over the course of today or whether it will end up fiddling around indecisively is the bigger unknown.

As for EURJPY, the only think I can assume is that the huge gap in the chart contained all the intermediate targets and corrections since, having seen the deep recovery, there is no other explanation… Overall, I still feel the dominant influencer here will be from EURUSD… Therefore, retain the main focus on EURUSD to identify the high…

Good trading