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当天计划
建议:我们现在应该留意看跌的反转迹象
阻力位:0.7724 0.7743-51 0.7770 0.7795
支持:0.7680 0.7656 0.7630-35 0.7604
主要原因分析:突波0.7715的点位貌似呈现出至0.7585低位开始的延伸波浪。在0.7724,我们已经看到了76.4%回调位,但我不能排除上升至0.7743-51的区间。基本上这波走势的极限在低于0.7770进行回调并返回到0.7656而后继续走低。这会使价格下调至0.7532-70区域。请注意,我们在此处将会看到一个小时的背离行情。
反向分析:我们需要得到突波0.7770的高位,继而试看扩大涨幅至0.7795和0.7848。
中期分析:
6月29日:我们已经得到巩固行情,我觉得现在下跌走势将得到发展并有一段路要走。我会避免提供中间目标,因为我想看到整个走低的完整修正,并从这个点开始目标将变得更加明显。
交易顺利!
伊恩•科普塞
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威
原文:
DAILY FORECAST FOR AUDUSD
INTRADAY CHART
BIAS: We should now be watching for bearish reversal indications
Resistance: 0.7724 0.7743-51 0.7770 0.7795
Support: 0.7680 0.7656 0.7630-35 0.7604
MAIN ANALYSIS: The break above 0.7715 appears to suggest the 0.7585 low was the Wave (i). At 0.7724 we have seen a 76.4% retracement but I can't rule out 0.7743-51. Basically this must top out below 0.7770 for losses to resume and back to 0.7656 and then lower. This would take price down towards the 0.7532-70 area. Note that we have an hourly bearish divergence already.
COUNTER ANALYSIS: We'll need a break back above 0.7770 would extend gains to 0.7795 and 0.7848.
MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:
29th June: Having resolved the consolidation I feel the downside will now develop and there is some way to go. I'll refrain from providing intermediate targets because I'd like to see this current move lower complete for the correction and from that point the targets will become more apparent.
Good trading
Ian Copsey