每日预测：美元兑日元

当天计划

建议：我们应该能够在123.35-54的损失之间看到盖状形态

阻力：123.35-54   123.75   123.98   124.37

支持：123.00   122.75-89   122.55-60   122.40-45

主要原因分析：没有发生损失，但是突破122.90-00的走势已经在略高于123.18的位置看到了回调。这看起来将延伸至123.35  - 最大到123.54  -的区域。有一个小的小时图背离。因此，对于回调的迹象造成的损失将移动跌破121.93和（理想情况下）121.70（121.41有轻微几率），有一个修正将使122.24-44下降到121.36  - 但允许发生低位的缓冲。此外，我们将继续观察看好的逆转迹象。

反向分析：只有直接走高至123.55将意味着更直接的收益和回升至123.98高位的可能以及上至124.37的潜力 ...

而直接跌破121.00将有可能触发进一步的损失

中期分析：

6月29日：今天上午的损失意味着我们应该处于从125.85低点开始修正的低处，这应该意味着121.35-45区域将是涨势恢复最有可能的底部。

只有直接跌破121.00将会至少跌至120.50，以及继续探底。

交易顺利！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY FORECAST FOR USDJPY

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:     We should see a cap between 123.35-54 for losses

Resistance:      123.35-54         123.75      123.98      124.37

Support:   123.00      122.75-89         122.55-60         122.40-45

MAIN ANALYSIS:   No losses but a break above 122.90-00 that has seen a recycling to just above 123.18. This looks like extending to the 123.35 - max 123.54 - area. There is a minor hourly bearish divergence. Thus watch for bearish reversal indications for losses to move back below 121.93 and to (ideally) 121.70 (mild chance of 121.41) for a correction back to 122.24-44 before losses down to 121.36 - but allow for a buffer below. Observe for bullish reversal indications.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  Only directly above 123.55 would imply more direct gains and back to the 123.98 high and potentially above to 124.37...

Only directly below 121.00 would risk further losses..

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

29th June:   This morning's losses imply we shoud be in the last leg lower in the correction from 125.85 and this should mean the 121.35-45 area is the most likely base for gains to resume.

Only back below 121.00 would risk deeper losses to 120.50 at least and later lower.

Good trading