每日预测：欧元兑日元

当天计划

建议：必须谨慎 – 突破135.06触发收益 – 而其他走势损失将重新开始

阻力：134.95-06    135.43    135.80-05    136.50

支持：134.33    133.90-00    133.30-45    133.09

主要原因分析：价格低见133.30的再次考验，这提供了潜在的双底走势。上述136.05将确认。如果出现这个反弹应该至少延长看到135.80-05。请注意一个这里可能出现的修正。一个突破会延续涨势双底的目标至136.80-90 ......还要注意137.40-50阻力，但总体而言，它应该可以获得138.12-50区域的收益。

反向分析：如果价格未能突破135.06而且回降而下，这时我们能看到下降三角形走势的引发的风险。这里可以发生一个更空头的发展正弦形态，我们必须确认最初的看跌波型和修正的发展。下跌至134.33的一个突破会预期将会下到133.30-45引发再次亏损，然后再低至133.09点及以下。这将提高看到广阔132.13-132.75区域为支撑的可能性，但是，直到利空因素出现之前，这个坚定的目标我们是不知道的。

中期分析：

6月30日：嗯...美元兑日元、欧元兑美元今天上午的崩溃显然已经表现了标志。我需要更多的时间来适应这一点，但欧元兑美元可预见亏损，不利的一面看起来占主导地位。现在，我们需要遵循当前的衰退，并根据其发现和调整得出美元兑日元的低点以及欧元兑美元的下一波损失...

7月6日：警惕可能发生在132.13-75的上落走势......回到138.12-30。

交易顺利！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY FORECAST FOR EURJPY

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:  Care required - above 135.06 triggers gains - else losses should resume

Resistance:      134.95-06         135.43      135.80-05         136.50

Support:   134.33      133.90-00         133.30-45         133.09

MAIN ANALYSIS:   Price saw a retest of the 133.30 low and this has provided the potential for a double bottom. Above 136.05 would confirm. If seen then the rally should extend towards 135.80-05 at least. Take care here for a possible correction. A break above would extend gains to the double bottom target at 136.80-90... Also note the 137.40-50 resistance but overall it should lead to gains to the 138.12-50 area.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  If price fails to break above 135.06 and drops back lower, then there is risk that we have seen a descending triangle. This could provide a more difficult development sine we'll have to confirm the development of the initial bearish waves and corrections. A break below 134.33 would suggest losses down to the 133.30-45 again and then the 133.09 low and below. This would raise the likelihood of seeing the broad 132.13-132.75 area as support but until the bearish development occurs a firm target is not known.

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

30th June:   Well… This morning's collapse in both USDJPY and EURUSD has clearly made its mark felt. I need a bit more time to adjust to this but with EURUSD expected to see losses, the downside looks dominant. For now we need follow the current decline and adapt according to USDJPY finding a low and the next leg of losses in EURUSD...

6th July: Be wary of a possible recycyling from 132.13-75... back to 138.12-30.

Good trading

Ian Copsey