外汇评论：一周的紧张开局

这一切都变得相当乏味，但我们已经在一些缺口中开始了本周-不太惊心动魄的是，我们已经看到了这希腊的悲剧故事 - 但有一个稍微超乎预期的拉伸比率使我感觉十分舒服。从这个角度来说这样的交易只是为了想赌一把就并没有太大意义。在这点上，我们已经看到，在过去的几个月里，它一直有需要警惕的突破水平，并试图寻找所有的替代选择以让市场来避免这一趋势。一种解释是复杂的矫正模式过程已经相当具有挑战性。非常具有挑战性。

正如我所看到的，美元在每周基本交易中走势都会继续走高些许，也许现在除了美元兑日元。总体而言，周五的结果是相当不错的-在所有货币对中除了...是啊...美元兑日元以外。我想，今天上午的差距可能只是代表了欧元兑美元轻微的拉伸结构，但我们将不得不认可它。否则，美元兑瑞郎和英镑兑美元似乎仍然符合我的预期。

澳元兑美元独自在玩自己的游戏，独自一人倒在了世界的角落，但基本上表现也如预期，这似乎仍然处于正确的轨道。

至于美元兑日元...我没想到会有这么深的反弹，但值得指出的是，经过分析，一个回调至低位的走势很可能是开放的。好吧，非常正确。这里小问题是，有一个两两对应的结构正在集中，这可以考虑为修正的反弹结构 - 但也有微小的位移可以认为它是一种冲力。在这一点上，间隙更低的欧元兑日元看起来更为看跌但横向仍然可以处在一个较长的，复杂的纠正阶段。

所以，像往常一样我们将不得不耐心等待，让市场冷静下来，采取下一个步骤，一旦出现某些常态 - 或最终的决定 - 发展...

一周皆赚！

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Nervous start to the week

It’s all getting rather tedious, but we’ve begun the week with some gaps – not quite the gut wrenching ones we have seen over this Greek tragedy saga – but one that has stretched the ratios a little beyond where I feel comfortable. From that perspective there isn’t much sense in throwing in trades for the sake of wanting to gamble. From this point of view, as we have seen over the past few months, it has been a case of having to be alert to break levels and trying to envisage all alternatives that could allow the market to avoid a trend. The process of interpting alternative complex corrective patterns has been quite challenging. Very challenging.

From what I can see, the underlying weekly trend in the Dollar continues to be higher, perhaps now with the exception of USDJPY. Overall, Friday’s outcome was ptty well achieved across all currency pairs with the exception of… yup… USDJPY. I’d like to think that this morning’s gap may just repsent a slight stretching of the structure in EURUSD but we’re going to have to ratify that. Otherwise, USDCHF and GBPUSD still seem in line with my expectations.

AUDUSD played its own game, all alone down in the bottom corner of the world, but basically behaved as expected and this still seems to be on the right track.

As for USDJPY… I hadn’t expected such a deep rally but noted, when I went through the analysis, that a move back lower was likely on open. Well, that one was right. The slight issue here is that there is a duality to the structure in the rally that could be considered corrective – but also with a minor shift it could be considered impulsive. At this point, with the gap lower in EURJPY it looks more bearish but the cross could still be in a longer, complicated corrective phase.

So, as usual we’re going to have to be patient, let the market calm down and take the next step once some normality – or a final decision – develops…

Have a profitable week