外汇评论：虚度光阴......

真的吗？我的意思是......真的吗？在市场上，已经锁定在亏损间隙这种方式以及其他的间隙方式运行，我们看到（希腊）协议，并决定无论如何卖出欧元。它终将得出结论，为什么所有悲剧都将是混乱的整合？或是要扩大其损失？

即使是现在，因为我们已经看到了欧元兑美元在（协议）宣布之后的下跌表现，它还没有更大范围内的下跌。从这个角度来看它的价值仍然被视为保守的一面。然而，尽管美元兑瑞郎尚未突破0.9514高位，已经可以看到反弹并趋于指向上行。让我补充另外一个“然而”。英镑兑美元昨天表现十分完美，我在宏观上是看涨的。显然，这与下降中的欧元兑美元是一个鲜明的对比...

这种冲突可能不是问题，但它肯定需要再次确认。在过去几个月里已经出现了窗内，我曾以为我们会看到美元反弹，但是结果是在最后时刻破灭。

所以，如果欧元兑美元进一步走低，那么美元兑日元会怎样？它打破了日常的关键支持。如果我们看到欧元兑美元都和美元兑日元双双下跌，欧元兑日元将怎样呢？显然，如果这种发展趋势重现，它将是最好的交易依据。

再加上，澳元兑美元正在接近一个临时低位。说了这么多，与之正相反的货币对，是可以单一看好的。

总之，我最爱看到的还是欧元兑美元的进一步下跌，但是，在这一点上，就应该值得时刻守望以确认。

交易顺利。

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

What a waste of time…

Really? I mean … REALLY?! The market, having been locked in a trauma gapping this way and gapping the other, see the agreement and decide to sell the Euro anyway. It was always going to be the conclusion so why all the dramatics with the wretched, messy consolidation? Or is it going to extend its losses?

Even now, as we’ve seen EURUSD decline following the announcement, it hasn’t broken the larger range. From that perspective it’s worth still being more on the conservative side. However, while USDCHF hasn’t yet breached the 0.9514 high, the rally it has seen does tend to point to the upside. Let me add another “however.” GBPUSD performed perfectly yesterday and I have the bigger picture as bullish. Obviously that’s a stark contrast to a falling EURUSD…

This conflict may not be a problem but it’ll sure need confirmation. Over the past months there have been windows within which I had thought we’d see the Dollar rally but only to have that outcome dashed at the last moment.

So, if EURUSD is to go lower, then what about USDJPY? It broke key daily support. If we see both EURUSD and USDJPY decline then what of EURJPY? Obviously if this development occurs it will be the best trade to hold.

Add to that, AUDUSD is approaching a temporary low. Having said that, the Antipodean is one currency pair that can go solo.

In summary, I’d really love for EURUSD to finally descend further but, at this point, it may well be worth watching for confirmation…

Good trading