每日预测：英镑兑美元

当天计划

建议：涨势将会继续，但可能发生早期整合的风险

阻力：1.5650-60    1.5674    1.5686-03    1.5731

支持：1.5620    1.5590    1.5576    1.5556

主要原因分析：回复修正停滞在1.5665-86目标区域的中间，这是比预期更深的修正 - 达到1.5576。我对这一点感到相当怀疑，觉得有一个三角形走势在1.5590到1.5650-60之间发展的风险。如果1.5590-95价位在白天的早段完成这一反弹，这将提高该三角形走势发生的可能性。而直接升至1.5665-74我们将会看到收益的恢复。正如昨天提到的，这应该会看到反弹至1.5797的位置。然而，如果要看到反弹直接恢复将是困难的。三角形走势将有更大机会到达这一目标。基本上存在一个处于1.5763-97之间的目标范围，并且在此范围内的任何地方都是不错的选择。

反向分析：下破1.5576和1.5550点位将涉及并显示：有一个回落走势至1.5450低位 - 而且可能表明上升趋势结束了...

中期分析：

7月13日：我们看到建设性的成果，这应该归于1.5570-1.5625区域的临时修正。一旦修正彻底完成则接下来的回升需要到达1.5763-97的区域。

只有跌破1.5400点位才会带来一些问题。

交易顺利！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY FORECAST FOR GBPUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:  Gains should continue but allow for the risk of early consolidation

Resistance:      1.5650-60         1.5674      1.5686-03         1.5731

Support:   1.5620      1.5590      1.5576      1.5556

MAIN ANALYSIS:   The rally stalled midway in the 1.5665-86 target area for a correction that was deeper than expected - reaching 1.5576. I am rather suspicious about this and feel there is a risk of a triangle developing between 1.5590 and 1.5650-60. If 1.5590-95 is reached early in the day and bounces, this would raise the likelihood of the triangle. Directly above 1.5665-74 would see gains resume. As mentioned yesterday, this should see a rally to 1.5797. However, this would be difficult if the rally resumed directly. With a triangle there is more chance of reaching that target. Basically there is a target range between 1.5763-97 and anywhere in this range will be fine.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  A break below 1.5576 and 1.5550 would concern and suggest a move back down to the 1.5450 low - and could suggest that the uptrend is over…

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

13th July:  We are seeing constructive gains and this should see a temporary correction from the 1.5570-1.5625 area. Once that correction is complete the next rally needs to reach the 1.5763-97 area.

Only back below 1.5400 would bring some concern.

Good trading