每日预测：澳元兑美元

当天计划

建议：我们应该在恢复跌势之前很快就会看到一个较高的修正

阻力：0.7385-90    0.7404    0.7430-36    0.7462

支持：0.7350-55    0.7332    0.7311-24    0.7271-84

主要原因分析：我们看到尾部的损失回落到0.7348低点附近（最有可能的0.7350-55）的回调。我怀疑这个修正将会过深，建议0.7380-00区域应该成为封顶而亏损扩大至约0.7311-24附近，随后通过校正又回到0.7355-65区域了。损失的封顶估计是在0.7290-10区域。这将促使更为深度的修正。

反向分析：突破0.7400-05将涉及和可能提出一个更复杂的修正模式。去到0.7436之上虽然已经失效，如果有任何证明，我可能错估了复苏势头以及仍然怀疑0.7462-88区域将被突破。作为最后的手段，0.7511-23区域是一个更深层次的日常回调区域。

中期分析：

7月17日：看来，我们已经看到了不规则三角形走势的完成，因此，我们现在应该聚焦损失。这可能有点棘手，因为更高程度的目标相当广泛。与此同时，我们应该看到损失在于0.7311-24的修正内，还可以判断出下一个更低的修正...

只有重上0.7500-35才将意味着我们需要更深的更高回调。

交易顺利！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY FORECAST FOR AUDUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:  We should soon see a correction higher before the downtrend resumes

Resistance:      0.7385-90         0.7404      0.7430-36         0.7462

Support:   0.7350-55         0.7332      0.7311-24         0.7271-84

MAIN ANALYSIS:   We are seeing the tail end of the losses back down to around the 0.7348 low (most likely 0.7350-55) for a correction. I doubt this correction will be too deep and suggest the 0.7380-00 area should cap to see losses extend to around 0.7311-24 and followed by a correction back to the 0.7355-65 area again. This should cap for losses that are estimated to be in the 0.7290-10 area.  This would prompt a deeper correction.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  Back above 0.7400-05 would concern and perhaps suggest a more complicated corrective pattern. Above 0.7436 would frustrate although, if there is any explanation, I may have misjudged the recovery and still I doubt the 0.7462-88 area will be broken. As a last resort, the 0.7511-23 area is a deeper daily retracement area.

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

17th July:  It seems we have seen the irregular triangle complete and therefore we should now look for losses. This could be a little tricky because the higher degree targets are quite wide. In the meantime we should see losses to 0.7311-24 for a correction and can judge the next lower following the correction...

Only back above 0.7500-35 would imply we need a deeper retracement higher.

Good trading

Ian Copsey