外汇评论：此处应该慎重

总体而言这是一个混合走势的一天，一部分精确的预测命中了目标，一部分存在偏差，但是其他替代目标之中含有一个或两个略有差错。自始至终，我们已经看到在过去一周的缓慢发展并将持续，在这一点上，很难考虑任何加速走势。这几乎是一样的，就像正常的季节性八月夏季无风期低迷早已到来，或许希腊的厄尔尼诺现象已经将风刮出了市场。

我们看到4小时价格一目均衡图云雾区进行的反弹略低于美元的反弹，并且看跌背离表现明显处于发展状态。这不仅适用于欧洲货币，而且也适用于美元兑日元和澳元兑美元。因此，这是一个重点，我们将不得不留意这要么是加速的走势方向，或甚至可能是整合阶段里的一个回调。

我还注意到，黄金和白银发生突然崩溃，但是这也引发了峭然复苏。事实上，这是一个及时的下降 - 一个我一直期待的 - 虽然也许更加稳定而不是崩溃。这是一个重要的市场跟随关键点，也许不完全涉及到外汇，但对于已发出的预测我已经在两年半前做出一些，同时也是关系到股票市场的。它开始提出一些令人吃惊的进一步动作，在即将到来的数月各种货币对应该会被推入更为紧迫的状况。然而，这种情况还没有真正到来，而外汇的低迷很可能将持续一段时间了。

因此，我们需要应付当前正在发展的结构。仔细观察走势尽头的迹象。

交易顺利！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

A little care from here

It was a mixed day overall, some pcise forecast targets hit, some missing but to an alternative target and one or two slightly astray. Throughout, the sluggish development we have seen over the past week or so has continued and, at this point, it’s difficult to consider any acceleration. It’s almost as if the normal seasonal August summer doldrums has arrived early, or perhaps the Greek El Niño has taken the wind out of the market.

We’re seeing the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds rallying to hold just below the Dollar’s rally and with bearish divergences evident or currently developing. This applies to not only the Europeans but also USDJPY and AUDUSD. Therefore, it’s a point where we’re going to have to watch for either an acceleration in the current direction or even perhaps a move back into a corrective phase.

I’ll also note the sudden crash in Gold and Silver but which has also triggered a steep recovery. In fact it was a timely decline – one that I had been expecting – although perhaps more steadily rather than the collapse. This is quite a key market to follow also, perhaps not exactly related to Forex, but has delivered notice of a forecast I made some 2 ½ years ago and is related to equity market also. It’s beginning to suggest some further startling moves are imminent over the coming month that should push the currency pairs into more urgency. However, that point hasn’t come quite yet and the sluggishness in Forex is likely to continue just for a while more.

Thus, we need to cope with the current structures that are developing. Observe carefully for signs of exhaustion.

Good trading