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即市策略

欧元兑美元日内预测

基本:我们应该看到从1.0944-50区域跌到1.0867-79,估计会跌向到1.0825-50区域。

 

阻力:

1.0944-50

1.0966

1.0984

1.1005-10

支持:

1.0905-10

1.0893

1.0867-79

1.0825-50

 

我们可能看到从1.0944-50区域跌到1.0893并小幅修正(10-15点)后跌向1.0867-79区域最后跌到达到1.0825-50区域。这可能跌很深,到达1.0808,然后下到1.0769-84区域,甚至可能1.0723-45。 

若下跌到1.0808和1.0718-23下方,可能会触底反转,只有站稳1.1150,才能确立上涨。

祝交易愉快!

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文:

DAIILY FORECAST FOR EURUSD

 

BIAS:  We should see 1.0944-50 cap for losses to 1.0867-79 and later to the estimated 1.0825-50 area

 

Resistance:

1.0944-50

1.0966

1.0984

1.1005-10

Support:

1.0905-10

1.0893

1.0867-79

1.0825-50

 

MAIN ANALYSIS:   The initial decline stalled way above the 1.0901 area but as suggested, the correction was relatively shallow and it seems we are seeing a relatively direct decline (although the internal development does contain some deepish corrections.) Thus, as the day starts we should see the 1.0944-50 area cap for losses below 1.0893 and to the 1.0867-79 area for a minor correction (10-15 points) and for losses to reach the 1.0825-50 area. This should provoke a correction - but again, I doubt it will be too deep - maybe to around 40-60 points approx - before losses continue. This should then challenge the 1.0808 low and then down to the 1.0769-84 area at least and probably 1.0723-45.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  Only directly above 1.0950-66 would frustrate and suggest gains back towards the 1.0984-1.1010 area at least. Take care here. Any higher and we'd be expecting 1.1029-55 but I'd have to make a total review.

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

28th July:  We are seeing a very deep correction - it seems to around 1.1139. This should trigger a reversal lower and thus watch for bearish reversal indications for losses back to 1.0808 and to 1.0718-23 minimum - and probably below...

Only above 1.1150 would see gains but I'd then have to review...

Good trading

Ian Copsey