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英镑兑美元,似乎从后续的5浪,确认早期的3浪。因此非日元兑,只有英镑兑美元是不确定的。
然后,随着欧元兑美元的发展,我们可能看到和昨天一样的走势。美元兑日元还会往下走。
如果美元兑日元低位盘整,就有助于欧元兑日元上涨。
祝交易愉快!
伊恩•科普塞
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威
原文:
Steady as she goes… Maintain your course! It’s hardly an exciting market, although at times rather frustrating, but it does look as if we are back on track – at least for the most part. I never really like this type of development because the noise in the lower degrees tends to camouflage some of the key waves. In the end it’ll work its way through but there could still be testing times.
Yesterday was hardly an exciting day with very little movement in general with the exception of GBPUSD that made a decision to baulk the recent trend. That we should expect more of the same in the Continental Europeans and Aussie does require GBPUSD to break from the general trend of the rest. If anything, it’s that which puzzles me most. The positive point from yesterday was that the follow-through allowed the identification of a 5-wave move that consequently clarified the earlier 3-wave move. That may sound backwards – but it’s a way of confirming the earlier, slightly uncertain, structure. So out of the non-JPY pairs, it’s only GBPUSD that provides an uncertain outcome.
As for the JPY pairs, it was EURJPY that benefitted most but driven by EURUSD. This looks like a steady development but there’s always risk in the cross because of the higher degree of low level noise. However, with the expected movement in EURUSD we should see a similar day to yesterday. USDJPY… phew… well, I didn’t like the deeper correction but I still tend to favour the downside but this pair does have potential to go into one of its 3-year old hissy fits and sit and sit and scweam and scweam until it gets its own way. I think it should go down but I’m not terribly confident it’ll come to much today…
Work with the Continental Europeans and Aussie. If USDJPY drifts lower then EURJPY could hitch a lift…
Good trading
Ian Copsey