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我没料到的是,美元兑日元在上周五继续跟随看跌的后市,但它确实漂移得低了一些,只能看到对于一天结束时的预期收益。我不期待出现狂热走势的一天,但我乐意出现一个双向走势却有着乐观偏向的一天。应该出现的是,与欧元兑美元互相协调的情况下,我们将看到欧元兑日元复苏。
有限及稳定的动作将是今天的主旋律......除非某人在某处做了一个愚蠢的声明...
一周皆赚!
伊恩•科普塞
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威
原文:
Quiet start to the week
The first half of Friday did indeed see the Dollar looking weak but, sporadically across the pairs, did turn back higher in the second half of the day – even to see a new low in EURUSD and in GBPUSD. It seems these two pairs have managed to squeeze a little more downside room for themselves while USDCHF looked at them with disdain and remained below Thursday’s high. I’m just a bit frustrated with lack of decent movement but overall this does seem to imply that the Dollar will be more uniformly weak today. As mentioned on Friday, the bigger puzzle is the depth of losses…
The Dollar losses were echoed in AUDUSD also – even moving to quite a strong extreme. It should see losses resume today although I suspect in a rather languid manner. Long gone are the days when we had the firm downtrend from July 2014, a factor of the maturing of a 5-wave development. Thus, don’t expect decisive decline but a more steady - one and probably with greater erratic corrections.
I hadn’t expected USDJPY to follow a bearish outlook on Friday but it did drift a bit lower, only to see the expected gains towards the end of the day. I’m not expecting anything close to a fiery day but more likely a two-way day with a bullish bias. This should, in conjunction with EURUSD, see a recovery in EURJPY.
Limited, steady moves today… unless someone somewhere makes a dumb statement…
Have a profitable week
Ian Copsey