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即市策略

外汇评论:昨日的重演

日元相关货币对中产生了损失 - 下方关键支撑的跌破引发美元兑日元下滑。这些损失实际上看起是一种纠正。我会补充的唯一需要注意的是,低程度的发展真的较为混乱,而且容易产生隐患倾向引发出令人惊讶的走势。遵循预期的结构发展将是非常重要的,如果这些变化太多了,那就需要保持注意并确保止损。

美元兑日元下滑,它将扩大欧元兑日元跌幅。它也有一个较为凌乱的结构,但整体看起来的确是下跌 - 而且有点复杂。4小时和小时图的趋势仍然看跌。

交易顺利!

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文:

A repeat of yesterday?

The recovery we have seen was always going to be a tricky one. There were no easily identifiable limits although I hadn’t expected a particularly deep move. Looking at the Europeans in particular the past two days haven’t seen much of a move but more of a sideways range. I think we’ll see another blip higher in the Dollar today but I’m not looking for a major rally today – or not until late in the day at the earliest. It just depends on whether the market has the energy and enthusiasm for a break.

This is reflected in the Aussie also – which actually saw the losses I had suggested. I think it can edge a bit lower but there’s a deeper correction coming at some point so take care. The energy in the Aussie is not as powerful as we have seen over the past year and therefore it’s likely to suffer setbacks in complex corrections and general lethargy in its development. However, while allowing for deep pullbacks, the outcome does appear lower.

The JPY pairs saw losses – a break below key support in USDJPY triggering the decline. These losses actually look corrective. The only caveat I’ll add is that the lower degree development is really quite a mess and that tends to generate hidden issues that can spring surprises. It will be important to follow the expectations for the structures and if these vary too much then take care and make sure stop losses are in place.

With USDJPY declining, it has extended the downside in EURJPY. It also has a bit of a messy structure but overall does look bearish – and a little complicated. Both 4-hour and hourly momentum remain bearish.

Good trading

Ian Copsey