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即市策略

每日预测:欧元兑美元

当天计划

建议:我们应该看到有限的损失紧接着是一个修正上升

阻力:1.1230-35   1.1250-60   1.1294   1.1319

支持:1.1193-13   1.1180   1.1139-56   1.1108-27

主要原因分析:走势与我所预料的程度不太一致,但首次下降至1.1241,随后通过纠正达到了预期的1.1270  -  1.1331区域。这个位于1.1294的顶部致使汇价再次下走,似乎朝向的是1.1193-13区域 大致的最高价位会在1.1200-10。此时应该会出现纠正但应该不会太深 -  在恢复到1.1230-60的损失之前。下一个目标应该是在1.1139-56周围区域,但对于一个30点左右相对较小的修正将发生在朝向至少到1.1108-27的目标之前。也许会到1.1064-80。观察从1.1110位置下走时发生的反转看涨迹象。这里应该能看到一个较高的纠正...

交易顺利!

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文:

DAILY FORECAST FOR EURUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:     We should see limited losses followed by a correction higher

Resistance:      1.1230-35         1.1250-60         1.1294      1.1319

Support:   1.1193-13         1.1180      1.1139-56         1.1108-27

MAIN ANALYSIS:   Not quite the levels I had expected but an initial decline to 1.1241 followed by a correction into the expected 1.1270 - 1.1331 area. This top at 1.1294 has sent price lower again and appears to be heading for the 1.1193-13 area - probably the higher end around 1.1200-10. This should provoke a correction that should not be too deep - 1.1230-60 before losses resume. The next target should be around the 1.1139-56 area but for a relatively minor correction of around 30 points before heading to 1.1108-27 at least. Allow for 1.1064-80. Watch for bullish reversal indications from 1.1110 downwards. This should see a correction higher...

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  Still, only directly back above 1.1331 would suggest a slightly deeper correction with the 1.1350-1.1386 area a prime candidate for a high. If price does break above 1.1331 watch for bearish reversal indications.

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

3rd September: Losses have been steady and constructive but there is still a need for price to break below 1.0808 to suggest any further losses. Until then we do still retain the risk of consolidation or a deeper move back above 1.1331 for further gains.

Good trading

Ian Copsey