波浪分析：外汇/贵金属市场展望

'“美元涨势看起来更加稳固了现在...

过去一周的发展 - 事实上是两个星期 - 一直是非常令人鼓舞的。然而，在这个阶段，它已经在建立未来的盈利基础了。然而，除美元兑日元，主要货币兑美元已经在盈利了，我怀疑，我们在未来1-2周将看到更多这样的情况。虽然我一直在写的报告出现了一些合适的改动，我一直在寻找 - 对于英镑兑美元有一个更深的期望，但是在正常的范围内。因此，除非我们开始看到支持突破，后市应继续看涨美元。

'“作为背景，我们已经看到了每日价格均衡图支持下的反转走高的美元，这鼓励着我们继续去分析。每日势头普遍看涨美元，而这趋向于备份价格均衡图的指示。我们将需要小心一点澳元，它正在进行自己的行程，起码在澳元之前了，所以不要指望它与欧元有必要的联系。
欧元兑英镑已经显现的损失如预期般强烈，尽管欧元兑日元还没有完全遵循预期的大方向仍然较低。
美元兑日元仍是个谜，应谨慎处理。总体而言，我怀疑我们将看到损失，但有模棱两可的局面，这取决于它会急速下降还是会矫正性的下滑。这是基于我们有3-波恢复可能导致的复杂的修正- 

'如果是的话，则很可能是一个平缓的修正。这里需要多加小心。
最后，贵金属似乎是矛盾的。白银似乎已经从49.85的高点完成了修正，而黄金却没有。我觉得它现在可能会保持平稳，这有待于观察。这两种金属的每周/每月会有看涨的分歧，虽然这只是一个警告 - 嗯，这是一个警告！只有直接在下降边缘高度以上才能证实强劲涨势...

祝交易成功!

如想看完整波浪分析报告，掌握现货黄金、现货白银及外汇走势，请向英伦在线客户索取《9.9贵金属/外汇波浪分析报告》

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

'Dollar gains look more solid now…


The development over the past week – in fact two weeks – has been very encouraging. However, at this stage it has really been building foundations for further gains. However, with the exception of USDJPY, the main currency pairs have been gaining against the Dollar and I suspect that we’ll see more of this over the coming 1-2 weeks. While I have been writing the report there has been some decent corrections that I had been looking for – a deeper one than expected in GBPUSD but within normal boundaries. Thus, unless we begin to see a break of support, the outlook should remain Dollar bullish. 
'As background, we have seen the daily Price Equilibrium Clouds support the Dollar following its reversal higher and this encourages with the analysis. Daily momentum is generally Dollar bullish and that tends to back up the indications from the Price Equilibrium Clouds. We shall need to be a bit careful with the Aussie that has been making its own course, generally ahead of the Europeans so don’t expect it to necessarily correlate with the Europeans.


EURGBP has begun to show stronger signs of losses as expected and although EURJPY has not quite followed expectations the general direction remains lower. 


USDJPY remains a bit of a mystery and should be approached with care. Overall, I suspect we’ll see losses but there’s an ambiguity in terms of whether it’s developing as an impulsive decline or a corrective one. This is based on the fact that we had a 3-wave recovery that could produce a complex correction – and 
'if so, then most likely to be a flat correction. This needs a lot of care. 


Finally, the metals appear to be conflicting. Silver appears to have completed its correction from the 49.85 high while Gold has not. I feel it is probably best to remain flat now and to observe. Both metals have weekly/monthly bullish divergences and while this is just a warning – well, it’s a warning! Only directly above the declining wedge high would confirm stronger gains…


Have a profitable week.