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即市策略

每日预测:欧元兑日元

当天计划

建议:我们现在应该更接近于最终的高点

阻力:135.19-38   135.75   135.94   136.23-35

支持:134.70-75   134.30-35   133.76   133.35

主要原因分析:价格达到了134.65-70区域甚至高达135.19。现在距离在此之前的反转有非常小的空间。它可能存在与135.25-35区域一样的低位,但也可能发生在135.70-80。我们有一个小时图上的强势看跌背离。因此,请注意。下穿134.23-30的突破将打破过去的纠正低点以确认反转。在这种S形态纠正的情况下我们需保持警惕。 保持在133.76下方的走势将有助于下行,并最终重新下探132.22-32区域。

交易顺利!

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文:

DAILY FORECAST FOR EURJPY

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:     We should now be closer to the final high

Resistance:      135.19-38         135.75      135.94      136.23-35

Support:   134.70-75         134.30-35         133.76      133.35

MAIN ANALYSIS:   Price reached the 134.65-70 area and even up to 135.19. There is now very little room left before this reverses. It could be as low as the  135.25-35 area but allow for 135.70-80. We have a strong hourly bearish divergence. Thus, take care. A break back below 134.23-30 would break the last corrective lows to confirm the reversal. Still take care in case there is s correction. Below 133.76 would assist the downside and eventually retest the 132.22-32 area.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  Above 135.90-00 would really, really frustrate… and may indicate a move back to the 139.00 high although I can't see justification for this. En route, the 137.00-10 area provides resistance.

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

25th August:  Yesterday's losses scrapped the bullish outcome and therefore tends to suggest larger losses. Whether this develops directly is less certain and I'd actually pfer to see a sideways move for a while before the larger decline resumes…

28th August:   This is developing well and should make it down to the 129.50-00 area...

Good trading

Ian Copsey