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即市策略

每日预测:英镑兑美元

当天计划

建议:损失再次开始将是不错的结果

阻力:1.5577   1.5595-00   1.5627   1.5640

支持:1.5545-50   1.5495-10   1.5480   1.5445-50

主要原因分析:与其他地方一样,美联储宣布结果的瞬息证实是我所倾向的更保守的预期。然而,即使是在1.5627的看跌结构依然没有被打破。甚至还有1.5663  - 虽然我不希望看到这样的状况。为了证实损失的再次降临,现在我们应该看到一个到1.5495-10区域的向下移动。这会产生一个修正,但整体的下行应该移动到1.5415-30区域。这是一个“标准”的首次回调区域,但考虑风险,它是一个不会长时间持续的小修正区域,而下方将延伸到1.5390和1.5329-57。

交易顺利!

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文:

DAILY FORECAST FOR GBPUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:     Prefer to see losses resume now

Resistance:      1.5577      1.5595-00         1.5627      1.5640

Support:   1.5545-50         1.5495-10         1.5480      1.5445-50

MAIN ANALYSIS:   As elsewhere, the Fed announcement blitzed my more conservative outlook. However, even at 1.5627 the bearish structure has not broken. There's even 1.5663 - although I don't expect this to be seen. To confirm losses resuming now we should see a move down into the 1.5495-10 area. This could generate a correction but overall the downside should move to the 1.5415-30 area. This is a "standard" first retracement area but with the risk that it's such a minor correction area that it will not support for long. Below would extend to 1.5390 and 1.5329-57.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  Only directly back above 1.5627 high would risk a move to the 1.5663 area. Again, this is a deeper retracement  area but if yesterday's high in EURUSD breaks then maybe we shall see even higher to around 1.5722. Any higher and I'd get a lot more concerned...

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

18th September:  While the correction has been deeper than I would have liked, it doesn't change the bearish impulsive targets. Yesterday's 1.5627 high merely implies a slightly stronger projection ratio to reach the downside impulsive target range at 1.4627 - 1.4759 (probably closer to the higher.)

Good trading

Ian Copsey