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当天计划
建议:损失再次开始将是不错的结果
阻力:1.5577 1.5595-00 1.5627 1.5640
支持:1.5545-50 1.5495-10 1.5480 1.5445-50
主要原因分析:与其他地方一样,美联储宣布结果的瞬息证实是我所倾向的更保守的预期。然而,即使是在1.5627的看跌结构依然没有被打破。甚至还有1.5663 - 虽然我不希望看到这样的状况。为了证实损失的再次降临,现在我们应该看到一个到1.5495-10区域的向下移动。这会产生一个修正,但整体的下行应该移动到1.5415-30区域。这是一个“标准”的首次回调区域,但考虑风险,它是一个不会长时间持续的小修正区域,而下方将延伸到1.5390和1.5329-57。
交易顺利!
伊恩•科普塞
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威
原文:
DAILY FORECAST FOR GBPUSD
INTRADAY CHART
BIAS: Prefer to see losses resume now
Resistance: 1.5577 1.5595-00 1.5627 1.5640
Support: 1.5545-50 1.5495-10 1.5480 1.5445-50
MAIN ANALYSIS: As elsewhere, the Fed announcement blitzed my more conservative outlook. However, even at 1.5627 the bearish structure has not broken. There's even 1.5663 - although I don't expect this to be seen. To confirm losses resuming now we should see a move down into the 1.5495-10 area. This could generate a correction but overall the downside should move to the 1.5415-30 area. This is a "standard" first retracement area but with the risk that it's such a minor correction area that it will not support for long. Below would extend to 1.5390 and 1.5329-57.
COUNTER ANALYSIS: Only directly back above 1.5627 high would risk a move to the 1.5663 area. Again, this is a deeper retracement area but if yesterday's high in EURUSD breaks then maybe we shall see even higher to around 1.5722. Any higher and I'd get a lot more concerned...
MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:
18th September: While the correction has been deeper than I would have liked, it doesn't change the bearish impulsive targets. Yesterday's 1.5627 high merely implies a slightly stronger projection ratio to reach the downside impulsive target range at 1.4627 - 1.4759 (probably closer to the higher.)
Good trading
Ian Copsey