外汇评论：不确定的结果之中的提示

尽管美元兑日元呈现涨势，欧元兑日元也还是得到了一个下行通道，基本上这是由欧元兑美元所驱动。这一交叉走势的出现似乎需要更高的修正，而再一次出现问题的是 – 要有多深，我才能感受到有限的涨势。交叉走势可能变得更强的唯一方法是，如果美元兑日元能突破我昨天详述的阻力区域以上 - 或者欧元兑美元突然下定决心采取激素模式......眼下我会坚持，以我个人观点去看待欧元兑日元的发展...

交易顺利！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Just a hint of an uncertain outcome

The correction, when it came, was a shallow one. I particularly dislike these shallow corrections because they can come with some kinks in them that make things easy to misjudge. In the process I like to see correlated markets – as in the Europeans – to have a generally common theme to their respective structures. From what I can see, it does look like we had a shallow correction. In addition, we have seen the Dollar push beyond the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds and with Dollar bullish momentum. Therefore, the risk does continue to suggest a strong Dollar.

Even so, as the day begins – and moves into the Europeans session – I would really like to see follow-through from yesterday. However, before that, I see some currency pairs that do suggest a correction first. Therefore, we’re going to have to approach this within an integrated outlook that should satisfy as many currency pairs that we can. This suggests – in the Europeans at least – a correction lower in the Dollar over the Asian session – perhaps into Europe – before the Dollar rally resumes.

AUDUSD also saw a limited correction and has extended losses further but we are due a correction here also. That always begs the question of how deep they should be but I feel it should be relatively limited. This still has both 4-hour & hourly Price Equilibrium Clouds pssing lower.

Despite the gains in USDJPY, the downside in EURJPY won through, basically driven by EURUSD. The cross appears to need a correction higher and once again the issue is – how deep I’m sensing probably limited gains. The only way the cross could be stronger is if USDJPY breaks above the resistance area I detailed yesterday – or EURUSD suddenly decides that it has taken steroids… For the moment I’ll stick with the individual outlooks that tend to match with how I see EURJPY developing…

Good trading