外汇评论：还需进一步行进

美元兑日元像是度过一日假期。好吧，它在本周已经经历了“白银周”（相对于春节“黄金周”）所以没有使人有很大的兴趣。这形势介于两个方案之间，但我怀疑今天我们会看到一个勉强的收益。这表明它将保持在过去的一个月的范围内以持续数天。随着欧元兑美元在一个油腻的斜坡上滑落，显然它拖累了欧元兑日元。鉴于上述对于欧元兑美元和美元兑日元的评论，风险是比较不利的一面，但可能现在有所限制。因此要警惕可能出现的修正走高 - 同时检查我们固有的货币对。

交易顺利！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

A little more to go

I was considering a different subject heading: “spot the correction.” There has been a dearth of modest pullbacks, let alone deep ones. However, we do appear to be approaching a decent correction. It may not begin today but certainly by tomorrow – probably… Even then, I can see some potential conflicts between related pairs in terms of the depth and that suggests keeping an eye on momentum conditions and also the key support and resistance zones that could trigger a break.

However, the Dollar maintains its underlying bullish foray and that should continue today – but probably not with as much directness as we have witnessed these past two days. The two key Europeans that have more potential are EURUSD and GBPUSD. Somehow, USDCHF has offered a sluggish move – but still within the general expectations of the current rally in development. This may well imply that USDCHF will correct less than the other two – when that correction comes.

Equally, AUDUSD extended losses but is expected to emulate the same type of development as the Europeans – both downside and correction.

USDJPY had a day off. Well, it has been “Silver Week” (as opposed to the Spring “Golden Week”) this week so there’s not a lot of interest. It’s midway between two scenarios but I suspect we’ll see grudging gains today. This suggests it will remain in the range of the past month for a few days more. With EURUSD slipping down a greasy slope, clearly it dragged EURJPY with it. Given the comments above about EURUSD and USDJPY, the risk is more on the downside but probably limited now. Therefore be alert to a possible correction higher – while checking on the intrinsic pairs.

Good trading