外汇评论：绕道而行

真正使我困惑的货币对是澳元兑美元，我同样看到了一个更深的修正，但现在已经有复杂的前景。当然这也并不是说我已经改变了我的总体看法，但却更突显结构和比率。该点上真正所需要的是穿过较低和较高波度之间的比率需要更强的适应性。

随着市场的主要看法广泛性上的一致，它表明，欧元兑日元可能会发生不那么直接的行情，虽然我还是觉得，欧元兑美元将超过美元兑日元...

周末愉快！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Detour

The lower degree development broke yesterday and appears to have highlighted the same problem I have been discussing for the past few days – the wretched mini-corrections that seemed to last for ever. The break levels are often the trigger that allows identification of which mini corrections were the valid wave endings. Even this process takes a while to figure out the Sudoku puzzle – but still can be slightly off. From what I have seen this rain swept morning, the Dollar gains have resumed. Still, it would be beneficial to approach with care.

Having said that, USDJPY may well be a key identifier of Dollar gains having dipped to the 119.20-25 area that I have been pointing to for the past few days. We now need a break above the prior leg of the consolidation to confirm my expectations.

That EURUSD has reversed sharply from its deeper correction – and also USDCHF – is also quite encouraging. Until the recent Dollar highs are broken it would be prudent to take care. That GBPUSD failed to react so directly and remained in a sideways consolidation backs up the argument.

One pair that really has me confused is AUDUSD that equally saw a deeper correction but has now complicated the outlook. It’s not that I have altered my general view, but more making sense of the structure and the ratios. What will be needed from this point is a stronger fit for the ratios across the lower and higher wave degrees.

With the majors generally all in one accord, it suggests that EURJPY may well see less direct moves although I still feel EURUSD will outstrip USDJPY…

Have a great weekend