外汇评论：更具方向性的一天？

这是奇怪的一天，然而这似乎已经遵循了我昨天讨论的警示性前景并使得美元进一步走软。我仍然有一些保留意见，从这一角度看，我仍然认为我们不得不建立一个额外的防范措施，当走势处于合适的位置之时。这种方法将通过基本原理或设置模式，以指出美元升势的恢复。

耐心是仍然需要的。

交易顺利！

伊恩.科普赛
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

A more directional day?

It was a strange day but one that appears to have followed the cautionary outlook I discussed yesterday that allowed the Dollar to weaken a little further. I do still have some reservations and from that perspective I still think we’re going to have to take extra pcautions when establishing a position. The ideal will be a trigger through something fundamental or a set up pattern that points to the Dollar resuming its rally.

One clue was in GBPUSD that corrected a tad higher than I had expected which, when considering the required target I identified, does seem to make sense. However, it could still seem marginal breaks of yesterday’s high so the same pcaution expssed above does still remain in place. However, once this move develops it does have the potential for a firm move.

That may have begun in AUDUSD that moved sideways and later lower. It’s still not a cut and dried outcome – or it will even if we see a deeper correction – so we’re really talking about the same mild uncertainty as the Europeans.

That USDJPY broke below the key support allowed losses to extend but remains within the large consolidation area. This range has been going for over a month now and there has to be a break before long. Again, I discussed the puzzle I have in terms of the larger upside and downside, something that suggests coming to fruition in early December. However, it does seem to be at odds with the Europeans and Aussie. Still, keep this in mind. We’re still in the range. Remain patient and wait for breaks.

With EURJPY drifting lower and now recovering it tends to point to the downside but there’s still a mild ambiguity. It will probably take more decisive action from EURUSD to really set this on its way…

Patience is still required

Good trading

Ian Copsey