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即市策略

外汇评论:现在应有更强的移动

昨天我们没有看到一个特别的定向......市场可能非常谨慎,因为耶伦在今晚的讲话,同样表明在她喃喃发话之前只有有限建议的移动预期。耐心仍是关键词。因此,当我提出现在应有更强的移动,它的真正含义是,真正的影响只能来自耶伦言论的漩涡,并证实在亚洲和欧洲交易市场中将通过安静的一天。

这应该可以看到欧元兑日元也产生更强的定向移动 - 但仍然处于一个我一直在寻找的结构中...

交易顺利!

伊恩.科普赛
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文:

A stronger move is now due

We didn’t see a particularly directional day yesterday… The market is probably quite wary because of Yellen’s speech later tonight and equally that suggests only limited moves can be expected prior to her mumblings. Patience remains the key word. Therefore, when I suggest a stronger move is now due, it really means that the real impact will only come from the burbling and muttering and that suggests a quiet day through Asia and European trading.

I had a quick look at the U.S. Indices just now, pparing my thoughts for today’s report, and found that quite interesting also because it suggests a rather sharp move also – a long Wave c / iii by the look of things. That the expectations in both Forex and Indices appear to coincide is equally encouraging.

Moving back to Forex, while there is a mild risk of mild confusion, it will suggest the outcome for which I have been waiting has more chance of being triggered and applies to the Europeans and Aussie. As suggested above, it should provide a solid move.

As for USDJPY… it’s playing a game, teasing the market – and teasing me - by flirting with the apparent triangle low – but is hanging on by a very tenuous thread. I don’t like the additional low we suffered yesterday and I’d like to call it lower – but I still find the overall structure more aligned to the upside. However, frankly this has been such a painful month of whips and false breaks that I’d much pfer a stronger break.

This should see EURJPY also generate a stronger directional move – but still in the structure I have been looking for…

Good trading

Ian Copsey