外汇评论：如卷心菜般扭结

一切都看起来不错，感觉就像昨晚把头枕在枕头上似的。的确，欧元兑美元和美元兑瑞郎没有走错任何行情。事实上，目前他们看起来好得很。然后我将视线转移到英镑兑美元和澳元兑美元...澳洲这块拥有黑布丁和木蠹蛾幼虫的土地......事实并非如此十全十美......这给我陷入困境。我们现在遇到的是，这似乎是一个相当困难的意见争论。也许它们会发生偏离，但绝对是不确定性的。

今天要留意的是 - 最好采用两种带有欧洲货币的货币对，因为欧元看起来有一个坚实的结构...

交易顺利！

伊恩.科普赛
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Of cabbages and kinks

All is looking good, I thought as I laid my head on the pillow last night. Actually, EURUSD and USDCHF have done nothing wrong. In fact, currently they look just fine and dandy. Then I moved on to GBPUSD and AUDUSD… the lands of black pudding and witchetty grubs… Not so fine and dandy… This has placed me in a quandary. We now have, what appears to be, a rather difficult conflict. Maybe they can diverge but it sure makes for uncertainty.

Let’s just start by confirming the very satisfactory development in the two Continental Europeans. The two have worked well together and as long as we begin to see the Dollar resume higher, should now satisfy my outlook. However, given the confusion over the Commonwealth parties it may be prudent to keep an eye on the Continentals to ensure their outcome actually develops…

Even in the Commonwealth parties there is a rather strange disconnection – limited upside for AUDUSD and more substantial room on the upside in GBPUSD. Best work with AUDUSD that has a more defined outcome – I think – but with GBPUSD there are more doubts and it may be best to now sit out and wait for a clear structure developing.

USDJPY didn’t do anything much wrong either but still just a little bit wrong… This could allow some neutral development to occur – some downside risk but should later generate upside. Being in the middle of the range it would be better to wait for the extremes. As for EURJPY, the pullback higher looks good except in terms of fitting this into the larger degree wave structure. There is a potential problem here too – and therefore it would be best to let price make up its own mind – could even make a marginal new high.

Take care today – best employ the two Continental Europeans that seem to have a solid structure…

Good trading