外汇评论：结构性的证据

昨天也许不是一个令人兴奋的日子，在大多数情况下，市场仍保持了侧面的相当稳定性——除了澳元兑美元、并在一定程度上也有英镑兑美元。这听起来或许不像是有建设性意义的一天，但我们需要这些，作为进一步定向移动的基础。虽然这个基础还没有真正取得任何技术突破 - 这意味着我们仍然要谨慎行事 - 只要我们获得正确的突破，我们应该会看到一个更强的发展趋势。

关注今天的关键点，并时刻准备跳到定向移动的“后面”。

交易顺利！

伊恩.科普赛
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Constructive evidence

It may not have been an exciting day yesterday, for the most part the market remained fairly steady to sideways with the exception of AUDUSD and to a certain extent GBPUSD. That may not sound like a constructive day but we need these to form the base for further directional moves. While that foundation hasn’t really made any technical breaks – and that means we still have to proceed with caution – as long as we get the right break we should begin to see a stronger trend developing.

This should provide the outcome I have been waiting for since quite some time, having been frustrated on several occasions – but maybe it’s best to actually see that confirmation because the market has been in the habit of fighting shy of actually generating a trend.

Where we have seen some veering away from the path I had expected – in EURJPY and AUDUSD – we need to establish alternatives. This appears set to begin in AUDUSD that pssed above the resistance areas I had expected would cap but has two options now – and I suspect there’s a strong risk of the larger consolidation developing. This does end to make sense in terms of the fact that it is in a terminal stage of a larger bearish structure while the Europeans are mid-way.

In EURJPY there are two options as well – one being a new high and the other being a short-term range trading scenario. Probably the former would suit the outcome in EURUSD. Some care is required here. That USDJPY remains with a steady, but ptty slow development, should continue but there is still risk of a minor new low before it extends its rally.

Watch the key points today and be ppared to jump on the back of a directional move.

Good trading