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外汇评论:矛盾,混乱和冲突

昨天有一部分成功,一部分中性,以及一部分混乱。当观点停留在个别货币对时我也注意到了潜在的相关性,以及如何将这些要点相互关联,其产生的漩涡式的模式,让我头晕目眩。其中还有从今天开始的一个强大元素,我觉得很难弄清楚所有这些货币对将要如何发展。一些似乎足以确定定义的结构,而一些倾向于不确定性。潜在结构来自于一些复杂的修正结构,这足以把人逼疯。

因此,留意那些需要做出动向的货币对,而忽略其他...

周末愉快!

伊恩.科普赛
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文:

Conflicts, confusion and clashes

Yesterday was partly successful, partly neutral and partly confusing. When looking at the individual pairs I also note the potential correlation and how these all need to relate to each other, which produces swirls of patterns and makes me dizzy. There is still a strong element of this as today begins and I find it hard to figure how all these pairs are going to develop. Some appear to have fairly definable structures while others tend to suggest uncertainty. The potential conclusion is the potential for some complicated corrective structures that could drive us mad.

In observing this, I am also cognisant of the timeframe that appears to be implied – probably into December - during which there seems to be a significant degree of range trading but also relatively limited space in which this development must remain within. In short this implies some nasty horrid range trading that can produce whipsaws.

When does this start? Well, it may have begun in some pairs already. There are some pairs that still seem to point to a directional move and others that, having seen the bleak landscape before them, have decided it may be best to bury their head in the sand. This tends to suggest short term trades for the most part although there is at least one pair that needs to see a more directional follow-through and one other that has not yet completed an impulsive structure. Otherwise, I am very cautious about providing any forecasts with clarity.

Therefore, watch for those pairs that need a move and ignore the others…

Have a great weekend

Ian Copsey