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建议:,以小时图和4小时图的下跌势头来看,这将继续扩大损失
阻力:0.7275-80 0.7320-25 0.7345 0.7362-81
支持:0.7222-40 0.7198 0.7164 0.7120-35
主要原因分析:上升的发展看起来正处于纠正,因此,我们现在将看到的损失。总体而言,这里或许将出现跌破0.7198的动作,去到0.7164和0.7120-35的低位,甚至还有潜在的0.7080-85。从0.7140,或是在更低点位观察看涨反转的迹象。目前小时图势头暗示了看涨背离发展的潜力,但我们必须判断这个移动的发展。因此,这仍需要注意最终的低点不甚清楚,我们需要寻找其他的迹象来支持反转走高。
交易顺利!
伊恩.科普赛
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威
原文:
DAILY FORECAST FOR AUDUSD
INTRADAY CHART
BIAS: This should extend losses with hourly & 4-hour momentum bearish
Resistance: 0.7275-80 0.7320-25 0.7345 0.7362-81
Support: 0.7222-40 0.7198 0.7164 0.7120-35
MAIN ANALYSIS: The upside development looks corrective and therefore we should be seeing losses now. Overall this should suggest a move back below 0.7198 and also 0.7164 to reach 0.7120-35 at a minimum and potentially 0.7080-85. From 0.7140 and lower observe for bullish reversal indications. Currently hourly momentum is suggesting the potential for a bullish divergence to develop but we'll have to judge this as the move develops. Thus, this still needs care and with the final low not really clear we'll need to look for other indications to support a reversal higher.
COUNTER ANALYSIS: To see this move higher we'll need a break above both 0.7362 and 0.7381. If seen then we should see gains but currently the target is uncertain. However, I suspect it will be above 0.7439-51…
MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:
13th October: The continued gains have breeched key levels that suggest that I called the Wave [iii] low too early. This now appears to have been at 0.6908. Thus, the absolute ideal retracement is at 0.9439 but we shall need to exercise care in identifying bearish reversal indications which are not really evident at the moment. Once this high is in place we should see losses resume.
15th October: I see potential for a move to 0.9439 but could even be higher given the general Dollar weakness...
Good trading
Ian Copsey