外汇评论：齿轮式的变化

虽然本周我一直看涨美元，我似乎已经得到了切换的时间 - 先寻求收益未兑现，而昨日的涨幅超出预期。现在，原来不规则的三角形变成了昨日的受害者，现在实际上创建了一个非常精细的目标条件，但我不知道，我们今天是否需要为其担心。我们已经看到美元反弹即将来临 - 也许已经来了 - 主要目标表明将有深度回调。提示在一个或两个货币对上，建议的校正潜力将会相当复杂。

周末愉快！

交易顺利！

伊恩.科普赛
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Gear changes

While I have been Dollar bullish this week, I seem to have gotten the days switched – first looking for gains that didn’t materialise and then yesterday’s gains exceeded expectations… Now that the original irregular triangles became victims yesterday, it now actually creates a very fine line in terms of targets but I’m not sure we need worry about that today. The Dollar rally we have seen is approaching – maybe has reached – key targets that suggest a deeper correction. There are some hints in one or two pairs that suggest the potential for the correction to be quite complex.

Therefore, look to see the day begin with some Dollar losses into the European session - maybe into the North American session. While the anticipated correction in GBPUSD could take price back into the Double Top region, the underlying direction is lower with a clearly defined target. The work to be done is recognising how deep this correction should be.

The Aussie, now in time-wasting scenarios, does have a limited variety of development but overall the downside has more chance of limited losses and firmer gains. The bigger and more crucial issue is just how deep any correction can manage…

Meanwhile, USDJPY also surprised I what appears to be a recycling. Compared to the Europeans, there is more risk of a reversal lower – though probably not directly. Even then, it needs to build bases again so this may languish in a range. This tends to suggest that EURJPY has a limited range today following the expected losses. I hadn’t really put a target for yesterday’s losses but it does suggest a relatively shallow correction before the next leg lower – probably fuelled by USDJPY…

Have a great weekend

Good trading