外汇评论：碎步前行

我们看到上周五有一些不错的进展，也许并不是普遍地与美元兑日元般雨后春笋似的修正以及英镑兑美元般单方面超越了其余的货币。我们该何去何从，行情中有什么意义？

今天必须仔细的选择您的货币种类。

一周皆赚！

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Half step by half step

We saw some decent progress on Friday, perhaps not universally with USDJPY springing a reprise correction and GBPUSD that made a unilateral decision to outstrip the rest of the bunch. Where does this place us and what does it all mean?

In general, nothing has gone terribly wrong – and actually, for the most part everything is quite constructive. It has left a few puzzles but ones that are either minor or just require a little more attention. The base line is that we have seen the expected Dollar losses. Has this completed the weakness? I very much doubt that – and considering the two Continental Europeans are poised just above prior (Dollar) corrective lows, this could still generate a slow day today. Both have pushed their way to the opposite side of the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds, probably enough to make a statement of intent, but not quite enough that they can still see a correction. Indeed, that is how I see the most likely outlook for today.

In the meantime, following the strength in GBPUSD, it should now slow and generate more swings and potential for a modest sideways move. This seems to have a loose correlation with AUDUSD that spent Friday pushing back higher and could complete a recycling – but it does have some risk of some whippy action – so take care.

Then came the whip back higher in USDJPY. Although it had made a potential base for the next development to occur – but had also room for a second pullback – which it did – but still remained below 121.50. This should provide a firmer follow-through. Given the expectation in EURUSD to be more range bound – but whippy – as long as USDJPY can muster firmer follow-through, we should see EURJPY begin to lose out. There is early risk of new highs but overall the outlook should remain bearish.

Pick your currency carefully today.

Have a profitable week