外汇评论：今天美元10％的移动

不想...只是幻想......也许比起其他来说更像一种发泄。话虽如此，它似乎是我们今天看到的一个像样的行情 - 最有可能不算是太过分 -我们看到昨天的涨幅的逆转。这应该适用于美元兑日元，欧元兑美元和甚至美元兑瑞郎。我在英镑兑美元上有一些保留，但我们只能说这不是不可能的，但会倾向于我一直在寻找的风险伸展范围。其实，我更喜欢看英镑兑美元老老实实的损失，但上面提到的三对货币可能会需要一个休整的相关性。

交易顺利！

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

10% move in the Dollar today

Nah… just fantasising… Probably more like venting frustration than anything else. Having said that, it does look like we’ll see a decent move today – most likely not too excessive - but a reversal of the gains we saw yesterday. This should apply to USDJPY, EURUSD and USDCHF at least. I have some reservations in GBPUSD but let’s just say it’s not impossible but would tend to risk stretching the limits I have been looking for. Actually, I’d much pfer to see GBPUSD make losses to be honest but it would likely require a break of correlation with the three pairs named above.

However, I do have doubts that we’d break the recent Dollar lows – or only marginally – but we’ll have to make that judgement when the time comes and based on the structure. The point here is that it’s going to require laying the foundation waves and that tends to suggest more limited progress.

The Aussie is somewhat in the same boat following its stronger follow-through yesterday. What this has left us is yet another flip of the coin. Will it continue to extend gains or will we get a deeper correction? It’s just in one of those sections of the structure where it has valid options on both sides of the market and this is going to require some savvy to work out which will develop by the structure.

The biggest surprise yesterday was in USDJPY with its deeper correction. It’s quite an interesting development because it has potential for a stronger move. That said, there are options and this will need some understanding of implications. We still have EURJPY almost in rigor mortis but with space on the upside and also on the downside. It could be USDJPY that sets it on its way but we still need to know the limits on either side of current price that will trigger the next move. Which moves first – EURUSD or USDJPY?

Good trading